MODELING THE IMPACT OF THE TRANSPORT PROVISION OPTION ON PROJECT RISKS

Keywords: vehicle, risks, project, assessment, costs

Abstract

The subject of the research is the formalization of the influence of the option of transport provision of the project on its risks. The aim of the study is to improve the efficiency of project management processes by identifying and formalizing the risks associated with the transportation of the project. Tasks of the study: to characterize the impact of transportation on the project; to describe formally the dependence of expenses on options for transport provision of projects; to develop a formation scheme and a method for assessing the risks of excess costs and loss of time for the project under the influence of the transport option. The following methods are used: system analysis, functional analysis. Results: project risks are formed under the influence of many factors, and transport provision is one of the components of this set. The set of characteristics of the project, which are influenced by transport provision - cost, risks, duration, quality, and result, has been established and characterized. At the same time, the alternatives and variability of transport provision form a corresponding impact on the project risks. In this study, under the option of transportation, a combination of a specific type and type of vehicle, its characteristics (for example, carrying capacity) and conditions of use in the project (purchase, lease or service from project suppliers) are accepted. The transport provision of the project is considered for three levels: separate work, time period, and project as a whole. For each of the levels, the following is established: the volume of necessary transport services; the number of vehicles required; costs for each option of transportation. Mathematical expressions are obtained for the magnitude of the potential risks of the project in the form of time losses and additional costs associated with the options for transport provision. Additional costs are determined by the loss of time, the characteristics of the vehicle, the cost structure depending on the conditions for using the vehicles. Conclusions: The formalizations obtained make it possible to quantify the impact of transport options on project risks. These results are the basis for the further development of a model for choosing the optimal option for transport provision for the project, implying a set of specific vehicles, terms and conditions of their use in the project.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Svitlana Rusanova, Odessa National Maritime University
Senior Lecturer of the Department of Port Operating and Handling Technologies

References

Bushuyev, S., Bushuiev, D., Bushuieva, V. (2020), "Project management during Infodemic of the COVID-19 Pandemic", Innovative Technologies and Scientific Solutions for Industries, No. 2 (12), P. 13–21. DOI: https://doi.org/10.30837/2522-9818.2020.12.013

Dotsenko, N., Chumachenko, D., Chumachenko, I. (2019, June), "Management of Critical Competencies in a Multi-Project Environment, In ICTERI, P. 495–500.

Onishchenko, S. P., Siraev, A. R., Samoilovskaya, V. P. (2012), "Evaluation of the effectiveness of options for organizing transport provision of distribution systems" ["Otsenka effektivnosti variantov organizatsii transportnogo obespecheniya raspredelitel'nykh sistem"], Eastern European Journal of Advanced Technologies, Vol. 6, No. 3, P. 37–43.

Onishchenko, S. P., Siraev, A. R. (2013), "Optimization of transport support of systems of distribution of export production" ["Optymyzatsyya transportnoho obespechenyya system raspredelenyya éksportnoy produktsyy"], Methods and means of management of development of transport systems, No. 1, P. 58–72.

Chen, Z. et al. (2019), "Research on Comprehensive Multi-Infrastructure Optimization in Transportation Asset Management: The Case of Roads and Bridges", Sustainability, No. 16, P. 4430–4459.

Gamez, E. A., Touran, A. (2009), "A Method of Risk ranking for International Transportation Projects", Proceedings of 7th International Probabilistic Workshop, Delft, The Netherlands, P. 187–203, November.

Owens, J. (2010), "Project Management for Complex Transportation Projects", Graduate Theses and Dissertations, 11627. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31274/etd-180810-1807

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (2009), Guidance for Transportation Project Management, Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17226/23028.

Bínová, H. (2013), "Methodology of transportation project management", Journal of System of Integration, No. 1, P. 30–37.

Lytvynenko, D., Malyeyeva, O. (2019), "A comprehensive method of balancing and harmonizing the interests of stakeholders in transport systems development projects", Innovative Technologies and Scientific Solutions for Industries, No. 3 (9), P. 91–98. DOI: https://doi.org/10.30837/2522-9818.2019.9.091

Abou-Senna, H., Radwan, E., Navarro, A., Abdelwahab, H. (2018), "Integrating transportation systems management and operations into the project life cycle from planning to construction: A synthesis of best practices", Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (English Edition), Vol. 5, Issue 1, P. 44–55. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtte.2017.04.006

Pavlova, N., Onyshchenko, S. (2020), "Organization of transport company’s project-oriented management (on the example of the freight forwarding company)", Management of Development of Complex Systems, No. 42, P. 23–29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.32347/2412-9933.2020.42.23-28

Andrievska, V., Bondar, A., Onyshchenko, S. (2019), "Identification of creation and development projects of logistic systems", Development of management and entrepreneurship methods on transport, No. 4 (69), P. 26–37. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31375/2226-1915-2019-4-26-37

Halvorsen-Weare, E. E., Fagerholt, K. (2011), "Robust Supply Vessel Planning", Network Optimization, Berlin: Springer, P. 559–573. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-21527-8_62

A guide to the project management body of knowledge (PMBOK® guide) (2013), Project Management Institute, Fifth edition, 589 р.


Abstract views: 16
PDF Downloads: 13
Published
2020-12-21
How to Cite
Rusanova, S. (2020) “MODELING THE IMPACT OF THE TRANSPORT PROVISION OPTION ON PROJECT RISKS”, INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES AND SCIENTIFIC SOLUTIONS FOR INDUSTRIES, (4 (14), pp. 78-85. doi: 10.30837/ITSSI.2020.14.078.